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Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts

Sunday, 4 October 2026

Andy Burnham has started a grown up debate - heres where it ought to go next.

 


The new UK Prime Minister, Andy Burnham, has prompted howls of outrage from some of the media. His felony has been to challenge Thatcher’s almost Orwellian mantra that “Private sector good, public sector bad”. Papers rage at such an affront to the blessed Margaret’s teachings. They say it’s just too awful and beyond acceptable. Maybe the authors of the spluttering editorials and opinion pieces recognize that Burnham has called out the fictions that supported the mantra’s assertions. He’s pointed out the counter facts in plain sight to us all.

So, what was the thinking that lay behind Thatcherism? The 1970’s with strikes and 3 day weeks created the bogeyman of the selfish unions who had to be defanged. At the same time poor performance in some nationalized industries helped create the myth that the public sector always delivered worse than the private sector. And linked to that was the trumpeting of the genius of the market and competition. We were told that fiercely competing companies in an unfettered market would deliver efficiency, innovation and better customer focused services. The entrepreneurs who would lead us towards this nirvana were seen as the cherry on the cake. With deregulation such titans were wealth and job creators who helped grow the economy. And that extra wealth would, of course, trickle down like water to the thirsty less fortunate. Sadly, it turns out that the wealthy aren’t terribly keen on their gains trickling down anywhere, unless it was to their families and away from the inland revenue.

What Andy Burnham appears to have started is a proper discussion about the myths much of the press has peddled to the UK public for the last 50 years. So, what are some of the counter arguments to Thatcher’s myths described above? A starter might be the Banks serial miss-selling scandals from endowment mortgages to pensions to their crooked business model that privatized profit whilst nationalizing their losses, (in the 2008 crash). Or how about the failed delivery from the privatized water companies? A leaking shit storm, metaphorically and literally. Private equity bought up the water companies and burdened them with ruinous debt that went into profits and bonuses rather than assets and services. Via a fiendishly clever web of companies the regulator was largely sidelined as money got stripped out whilst our whilst our rivers and sea became a giant open-air sewer. And lastly there is the example of the expensively privatized national rail operations or London Underground’s asset renewal and maintenance. Most of those are now effectively back in public ownership.

But what Burnham’s honest and helpful analysis hasn’t quite got to yet is Tony Blair’s “things can only get better” contribution which built on the false narratives the Tories launched. Private Finance Initiatives (PFIs) and derivatives of the same were enthusiastically embraced by Blair’s new government. PFIs sprang up in areas like the provision of school buildings, hospital facilities, running prisons or the probation services. And in creating the PFIs many lawyers and consultants made a tidy profit. As did the private companies behind the PFIs. The deal had priced in the supposed higher risk of the services being provided. But after the deals were signed, amazingly within years the supplying companies refinanced at much lower costs, as the reality was this was all financed by the “they’ll never go broke” government. The cost savings made were pocketed, in the early PFIs, by the companies not the taxpayers.

And let’s not forget the increased migration. For centuries the UK’s economy has in part relied on migrants bolstering its workforce. And so, Blair and Boris opened the gates to solve the economy’s labour shortages. But in doing so they never made a proper assessment of what our society’s limits were on how many newcomers we could absorb and integrate. In doing so they stupidly handed those on the far right an opportunity. Working people are fed up with the zero hours gig economy assaults on their job security. They’re fed up with low wages that mean even with two people working benefits from the state are still needed to get to a living wage. They’re nervous about the reducing certainty on pensions in their old age. And they can see their grown-up children having even less opportunities than they did. And the far rights answer to all of this is to blame the migrants and pretend if they weren’t allowed in then it would be all better.  Except it wouldn’t be better, would it?

There are many other economic and influencing crimes all the major UK political parties have been party to which I headline here just for the record. The fiction that all wealthy people are job creating entrepreneurs. Some are, but many are asset owners simply renting out what they inherited. The ever-expanding House of Lords whose growth is fueled by the ennoblement of MPs and advisors as a reward for their loyal service. The lobbyists showering politicians and officials with Taylor Swift concert tickets, expensive dinners and other junkets. And we maintain the fiction that those peddling sweeties are in the altruism game, instead of being honest that they’re in the whispering in the ear game. Or how about the criminally missed opportunity for government to borrow cheaply to invest in infrastructure when interest rates were low? And don’t even get me started on the helpless way in which we’ve allowed private equity vampires to get their fangs into sectors like care homes for older people, facilities for children with special needs and even the vets who look after our beloved pets. In each case the fees have rocketed, and the carers’ wages haven’t.

So, I have four things to say to Andy Burnham. 1) Thanks for starting to talk about some of the falsehoods and real issues we face. 2) Acknowledge new Labour’s part in creating this mess. 3) Clean up the cess pit of the honours system and lobbyists. 4) Get private equity under control before their shadow banking wrecks our economy.


Saturday, 11 October 2025

12 issues - and the counter arguments versus such - on a no. of popular debates in the UK political sphere

Issues (I) that are in the public domain and challenges (C) against the arguments.

I1) It seems a fair few people are angry about immigration.

C1) Politicians need to have an honest debate about what level of immigration meets our needs and is manageable culturally.  Given our ageing less babies population if we don't allow immigrants in we won't have the tax revenue nor the carers to support out ageing population.


I2) Because the grey vote is more active in voting no political party appears to want to challenge the triple lock on state pensions.

C2) But surely it would be fair to undo the triple lock and just link state pension increases to wage increases?


I3) There maybe seems to also be a problem with how people on a variety of benefits can receive more £'s p.a. than those working a 40 hour week on the minimum wage.

C3) Surely the combo of benefits people can get needs to be pegged to a level materially less (say 20%) than what 40 hours on minimum wage pays?


I4) The fiction of private sector always been better than public sector continues.

C4) Even after many railways are back in public ownership, the privatised probation service had to be re-nationalised, and the privatised water companies services are literally, shit.


I5) The largely right wing UK newspapers have been in attack mode on the Labour Government since it got elected last summer, indeed the ability of the Conservative party under "I never make mistakes" Kemi to reveal regular "gotcha" stuff might owe more to the right wing newspapers than the Conservatives forensic investigation skills.

C5) 18 years of Conservative government topped at the end with "make your mates rich" COVID deals and Boris bullshit & illegality is the benchmark we actually need to judge any government against.  Any bets as to whether the Mail, Express, Sun or Telegraph will ever do that baseline comparison?


I6)  Whenever tax the ultra rich is suggested we get articles saying they'll all just leave - but  tracking down facts as to whether they actually would leave seems difficult.  The "they'll leave" articles seem to rely on surveys from companies who serve the ultra rich.

C6) Some of the ultra rich are entrepreneurs who create wealth and jobs and for that we ought to be thankful & try & encourage them to stay, but most ultra rich  are people with assets which they earn income from which is taxed at a lower rate than the income tax most folk have to pay.


I7)  Some 50% now go onto further education after 18 and they've been conned into believing they'll get salaries in the top 10% range, a mathematical impossibility.  Now-a-days students don't really have a student loan they have an extra tax rate on their earnings. (The interest rate on the "loan" is way above market rates, the body that administers it is a financially unregulated body, so the "loan" quickly balloons to a "will never be repaid" amount which eventually will be written down 30/40 years from now). Its a classic pushing the issue into the long grass move so political parties don't need to deal with the issue today.

C7)  Yet still most popular media talks about student loans as if they are something that will be paid back.


I8) The House of Lords keeps getting bigger as the party in power creates Lords as rewards for its mates.

C9) Peg the no. of Lords to be the same as the no. of MPs.


I9) Scottish politics continues to focus on independence even though the referendum was understood at the time to be a once in a lifetime deal.

C9) If Scotland wants independence then let them have it, as long as the rest of us don't have to pay them any subsidy and they can't use the £ as currency.  If they complain about others nicking their oil maybe they need reminding that the Union happened because the rest of us bailed them out from bankruptcy in the 1690's


I10) The English do wonder why, as the main income contributor to the UK finances, they don't have their own Government independent from Westminster.

C10)  I haven't found any serious arguments against such bar "its all to difficult" - but apparently it wasn't for Northern Ireland, Wales and Scotland.


I11) We as taxpayers are paying benefits to people in work because private companies don't pay them a living wage/use zero hour contracts.  We are literally subsidising private companies profits.

C11) Big employers like Tesco need to take less profit and pay their workers a proper wage.


I12) Many MPs seem to enjoy hospitality from private companies and juicy posts with such when they retire from being an MP

C12) Anything over £50 value in hospitality from others should be something MPs are required to not accept.  Also MPs - and civil servants - should, if they take employment based on their previous contacts as an MP or civil servant - if an independent body so judges - pay 75% tax on such earnings - as they're earning such income because of what tax payers paid them to do in previous government paid roles.  It probably won't reduce the no. of MPs/ex civil servants getting employment based on their previous tax payer paid role, but at least we'll get a bit more back into the nations' coffers.



Thursday, 5 October 2023

Learning about politics - conservative party conference 4/10/23

HS2 Birmingham to Manchester won't be happening surprisingly - although the £ saved will be used for other transport projects announced the UK PM Rishi Sunak at yesterdays conserviative part conference.  

Apparently the London Euston station, which was due to have 11 platforms for high-speed trains will now have six, which presumambly reduces capacity.

And what a train wreck of a PR management announcement that decision has been.  Once the possibility of cancellation had leaked before the conference were they right to keep claiming they hadn't decided?  Or should they have lanced the boil early to get the poision out?  Doubtless, praticioners of the political dark arts will be using this one as a case study for some time.

I imagine the spin doctors over in the opposition party HQs are busy talking through what three to five word slogan they can now best use on their anti tory posters.

"The Tories are going nowhere" perhaps?

My favourite line for a poster would be "You can't trust the Tories"  

with whatever imagery works best.  What comes is the picture of Johnson and Sunak partying at No. 10 compared with the late Queen sitting alone at her husband's funeral.

Or maybe the phrase "Duty or Party"

Reactions to the HS2 decision were:

- Sir John Armitt, (chairs National Infrastructure Commission), 'deeply disappointing';

- Richard Bowker, (ex boss of the Strategic Rail Authority), capacity constraints not solved;

- David Cameron, (ex PM), on the decision, 'the wrong one'.

- Andy Street, (Tory mayor of the West Midlands), 'incredibly disappointed' 

- Andy Burnham, (Mayor of Greater Manchester), 'we haven't got a plan here that works'


Other points the PM made yesterday

- Rwanda deportation flights - will stop the boats (still an assertion with little factual backing so far) & he'll do 'whatever it takes'

- a smoking ban so most most of today's children can never buy cigarettes.  What a great decision.  Meanwhile Smoking lettuce Queen Liz Truss says its 'hideously illiberal'.

- Vaping & children - a promise to crack down on the sale of disposable vapes to children.  Good.

 - Advanced British Standard qualification - combines A and T levels in an international baccalaureate-style qualification in which pupils study at least five subjects including some form of maths and English to age 18.  The PM's press secretary said: 'I believe it will take about 10 years for the advanced British standard to replace A-levels.'

-  Uni, like Essex, isn't the only way - 'So we are stopping universities from enrolling students on courses that do nothing for their life chances. Under us no more rip-off degrees.'

- Sexually-motivated murderers - will never be released from prison, 'we will legislate for sexual and sadistic murders to carry a full-life term with no prospect of release.'


Sunday, 7 May 2023

Margaret Thatcher's political legacy

Introduction Margaret Thatcher's political legacy is a topic of significant debate and discussion. The former Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, who served from 1979 to 1990, left a lasting impact on the nation and its political landscape. Here, we'll examine three pros and three cons of her political legacy.

Photo by Hansjörg Keller on Unsplash

Pros:

Economic Reforms: Margaret Thatcher is perhaps best known for her economic policies, which came to be known as "Thatcherism." She championed free-market capitalism, reduced the power of trade unions, and privatized several state-owned industries. These policies are credited with revitalizing the British economy, leading to greater economic growth and increased global competitiveness.

Strengthened British Identity: Thatcher's tenure as Prime Minister coincided with a period of heightened patriotism and national pride in the United Kingdom. Her strong leadership in the Falklands War and her unwavering stance against the Argentine invasion helped bolster the nation's sense of identity and unity. Her commitment to British sovereignty and her resistance to European integration resonated with many citizens.

Political Legacy: Margaret Thatcher's rise to power as the first female Prime Minister of the UK shattered the glass ceiling for women in politics. She remains an iconic figure for aspiring female leaders worldwide, demonstrating that gender is not a barrier to reaching the highest echelons of government.

Cons:

Social Division: Thatcher's economic policies, while successful in many ways, led to significant income inequality. The gap between the rich and the poor widened during her tenure, causing social divisions and unrest in some communities. Her government's approach to welfare reform and its impact on vulnerable populations were highly criticized.

Deregulation and Financial Sector: Critics argue that Thatcher's deregulation of the financial sector contributed to the 2008 global financial crisis. The "Big Bang" financial reforms in the 1980s opened up the financial industry but may have also paved the way for riskier financial practices, contributing to the economic turmoil of the late 2000s.

Controversial Policies: Thatcher's leadership was marked by several controversial policies, including the introduction of the Community Charge, commonly known as the "poll tax," which led to widespread protests. Her uncompromising stance on issues like the anti-apartheid movement in South Africa and her confrontational style in dealing with political opponents earned her both admiration and animosity.

In conclusion, Margaret Thatcher's political legacy is a complex and polarizing subject. Her economic reforms and resolute leadership continue to influence conservative politics, but her policies also left a legacy of social inequality and division. The assessment of her legacy largely depends on one's political perspective and values, making her a figure whose impact on the UK and the world remains a subject of debate and analysis.


Source: I asked Chat GPT3.5 to "write a short article summarising the 3 pros and cons of Margaret Thatchers political legacy" and the text and post title above is what it produced, I made minor formatting changes and added the picture

Thursday, 6 April 2023

May elections are coming up - lets issue a tough sounding statement on water companies that commits us to nothing

Executive Summary - when you've got local elections coming up, make tough sounding announcements on subjects voters care about.  But don't commit to any extra resources to achieve such, or timescales within which the changes will be achieved.

(pic from https://www.sas.org.uk/water-quality/)

Political government announcements are, in a deeply distressing way, a cynical combination of fudge, misdirection, bullshit and push it into the long grass statements.

The Conservatives seem to have cottoned onto the fact that water companies pumping shit into our rivers and coastal waters isn't a good news story.  Actually its something that voters in the May local elections might be wound up about.

Obviously the private water companies are a great example of how capitalism delivers good value to capitalists, not to consumers.  In a vivid demonstration of what the supposed competitive market delivers, the privatised monopolistic companies have largely used their excessive profits since privatisation to award their shareholders and their executives, rather than investing in assets that lead to less shit in our rivers or coastal waters.

So we come to the announcement, issued on April Fools Day, (no apperent irony on that timing), from Thérèse Coffey, Environment Secretary.  Apparently she is saying that companies that pollute our waters could face unlimited penalties. And that the higher fines would be reinvested into water quality improvements.

The linked to announcement above uses the following phrases, which don't actually commit the government to any action.

 - could, not will, fine them more, and there is a 6 week consultation 1st - so the only real commitment is to a consultation.

 - Thérèse Coffey is expected to announce next week ...so its not a commitment of more £'s.

 - There is a new Plan for Water, to be published shortly - so its not a commitment of more £'s.

 - toughening up enforcement against companies who fail to deliver improvements.- but to do that you need to put in extra £'s for resources to enforce, which haven't been announced.

 - the fund will help local groups ID the biggest issues and direct investment to where it is most needed - isn't  that what the water companies were meant to be doing anyway?

And finally the annoucement  says that:

 - further detail on how the Water Restoration Fund will be managed will be set out in due course - so thats an unspecified timescale for an unseen management plan which may not have the finmes income envisaged.

 - Since 2015 the Environment Agency has secured fines of over £144 million, including £90 million from a fine imposed on Southern Water in 2021 - so since 2015 they've done one big fine on one water company.  Why haven't they done the same for all the other water companies pumping shit into our rivers and coastal waters?



Friday, 21 October 2022

If Boris can afford to be PM again, then don't doubt the Conservatives will vote for that

So what a success Liz Truss was as a PM.   Not.  Our "I'm not a quitter" impoverished Leeds Roundhay school educated ex-leader appears to have, well there's no easy way of sugar coating this, quit.

Of course, some are painting this recent unfortunate history as being something about her or Kwasi Kwarteng's failings.   The Conservatives call to their own and to us is: to pull together; put the country first; choose somebody competent to be the next PM.  Some reports in the media are that, if more than one candidate gets more than 100 MPs support, then Conservative party members might be involved again in picking our PM.

Meanwhile the blessed Boris's name is being mentioned again.  What doesn't seem to have occured to his backers is that, given his anticipated speaking and journalist fees, Boris can't afford to be PM again.  So just like that expensive wallpaper issue, maybe some rich Tory backer needs to come forward to top up a Boris PM's salary.


Against all of this spin and miss-direction, lets get a couple of things straight.

1) The Conservative party is putting its own, not the country's future first.

2) Conservative members voted Liz Truss in, so their credentials as talent spotters are zero.

3) Conservative MPs supported Boris way after it was clear he had broken the law and did not understand the concept of truth.  So their ability to speak truth to power seems limited.

4) The following miss-named Think Tanks all thought the mini-budget was a great idea - Institute of Economic Affairs, Taxpayers Alliance, Adam Smith Institute and Centre for Policy Studies.  Lets hope when the media invites their input in future the first question is always, "So why did you welcome Liz Truss's mini -budget?"

What we need now, we are told, is a serious, competent conservative leader to lead us forward with a validated economic plan for more glorious years of conservative rule.

Indeed, some are calling for an election now, which of course won't happen.  And opponents of the conservatives may well wish for two more years of chaos, so the opinion polls can go negative on support for the Conservatives.

Which leaves us with the uncomfortable reality of what its like for the rest of us.  Food prices are up, energy prices are up, borrowing costs are up, housing costs are up, waiting lists for healthcare are up, vacancies in health care, social care, crop picking and hospitality sectors are all up.  And thats not rhetoric from the anti-growth coalition, its the quaint and apparently unwelcomed facts and truth.

After 12 years the conservatives have run out of credible costed ideas to make a difference, they have run out of credible experienced individuals to form a government, and. according to opinion polls, they have run out of the public's support for their approach to governing.  

Their Humpty Dumpty self absorbed, self serving, self honouring, self privileging, self profiting  approach to politics has fallen off the wall and can't be put back together again, however many king's horses and men they dedicate to that task.  The Kings comment on all of this .. "Dear oh dear, anyway .... "




Saturday, 1 October 2022

The we had to do it argument

Listening to the news yesterday and today I'm struck by some arguments the TrussKwasi media spin machine has been pushing.

1) They acknowledge that last weeks mini budget caused some disruption on the financial markets.

2) They believe their policies are right for the economy. 

3) Spending discipline is needed and a plan to get government debt falling in the medium term will be published in late November.

4) It was important to get help to families ASAP (presumably on the energy prices).

You have to admire their ability to ignore the inconvenient truth whilst taking a we were right position.



So here's some counter arguments, (if only voice/visual media would challenge the PR machine drivel with such!)

1) Thankyou for taking a week to acknowledge the reality of what you announced last Friday. The rest of us have been there since last Friday. What took you so long?

2) I assumed you believed that what you were doing was right, and not some cynical political position to gain power.  The fact you feel you have to say you do believe in what you are doing is - well  - a little concerning.

3) A shaft of insight appears to have illuminated for you that a budget, (sorry fiscal event!), is meant to be a financial plan with - well you know - numbers, and not just for the next couple of months.

4) Yes it was important to respond to the energy prices - and thanks for that.  But at the same time you didn't need to announce other tax cutting initatives for the rich that the financial markets have largely judged to be unfunded.  You do remember that your political party mantra for at least the last 50 years has been the market is always right?


Wednesday, 8 May 2019

24min @theeconomist clip - the #data revolution: #privacy, politics and predictive policing



Text from youtube "More than 90% of the world's data appeared in the past two years. From privacy to politics, Facebook to facial recognition – discover the true impact of this data revolution. 

A revolution is unfolding. Invisible, global, and virtually impossible to avoid. What are the forces shaping how people live and work and how power is wielded in the modern age? 

NOW AND NEXT reveals the pressures, the plans and the likely tipping points for enduring global change. Understand what is really transforming the world today – and discover what may lie in store tomorrow.

Thursday, 2 August 2018

2min 39sec @theeconomist clip - are #identity #politics dangerous?


Text from youtube "Some fear that politics based on protecting race, religion or other minority groups can threaten the rights of others. How did identity politics emerge and has it gone too far?"

Thursday, 14 December 2017

6min 51sec @TheRSA clip - Why We Need #Global Solidarity More Than Ever with Elif Shafak


Text from you tube "Award-winning novelist, public intellectual and political commentator Elif Shafak offers cautionary advice about the provisional nature of democracy in the west and the rise of populism – and how close we are to slipping back at any point."

Saturday, 1 July 2017

6min 51sec @The RSA clip - How to Seize the Political Day with Roman Krznaric


Leading social philosopher Roman Krznaric argues that we need new politics of mass action focused on seizing opportunities, spontaneous mobilisation and hedonistic revelry. He calls it ‘Carpe Diem Politics’, an innovative and powerful approach to political change based on the seize-the-day ideal dating back to the Ancient Romans!