The papers report on research produced by the Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion (CASE) at the London School of Economics
My categorization of the headlines from the summary reports is in the table below. Beneath the table is the detail of the various headlines in the summary documents, plus links to the summary documents and the full papers.
Positives
|
Postives
& Negatives
|
Negatives
|
Social Policy, Poverty & Inequality
|
||
Savings from benefit cuts
balanced out tax allowance increases and the “triple lock” on pensions
|
Early protection for the
poor, but increasing poverty later
|
Tax & benefit changes benefited richer groups more, while contributing
nothing to deficit
reduction
|
Pensioners
were protected, children less so
|
Many
services cut & increasing pressure on others
|
|
In Coalition’s early years
relative poverty reduced but poverty rose against a fixed line
|
Still high levels of debt
and deficit, and further cuts to come
|
|
Income inequality - it
depends on what base you use
|
The combined impact of
direct tax and cash transfer changes was mostly regressive, moving income
from poorer households to those that were better off
|
|
The Under 5’s
|
||
The number of Sure Start
centres fell by a fifth – but those remaining showed resilience at a time of
spending cuts
|
Projections point to
continuing redistribution of income away from poorer households and increased
child poverty by 2020
|
|
Attempts to expand other
support programmes for parents had mixed success
|
Tax-benefit reforms hit
families with young children harder than other families, and poverty
increased
|
|
Take-up of early education
increased slightly for three- and four-year-olds and staff qualification
levels continued to improve
|
The number of childcare
places for young children held up, although daycare provision in children’s
centres was more than halved
|
|
Key child development data
changed little after 2010 – but it is too soon to know what impact Coalition
policies may have had
|
||
Education
|
||
More young people were in
full-time education and training
|
Overall attainment rose
until 2013 then fell at GCSE
|
Some socio-economic gaps
have widened again
|
Qualification levels
continued to rise among 16 to 19-year olds…
|
Most of the increase in
apprenticeships was among adults aged over 25 … and the number of adults achieving qualifications
fell
|
|
Despite the rise in
tuition fees, the proportion of 18-year olds applying to university increased
|
||
Employment
|
||
Unemployment fell steeply
from 2013, while self-employment expanded and overall
employment reached a new
peak
|
The Work Programme disappointed
government expectations, although outcomes improved over time
|
Real earnings continued to
fall as the recovery gathered pace
|
Evidence concerning the
Pre-Work Programme is piecemeal, but more than 60,000 claimants were helped
to start their own businesses
|
Nine out of ten
Jobseeker’s Allowance recipients stopped claiming within a year, but Employment
and Support Allowance claimants left at a much slower rate
|
Jobseeker’s Allowance
claims rose and fell with unemployment, but the proportion of lone
parents claiming Income
Support kept falling
|
Health & Adult Social Care
|
||
Community services became
more targeted on individuals with the most complex needs
|
The proportion of adults
with unmet care needs remained high under Labour and the Coalition
|
Healthcare indicators
point to increasing pressures on access and quality, whilst satisfaction with
the NHS declined
|
Obesity, smoking and
alcohol consumption remained key concerns, and health inequalities remained
deeply entrenched
|
||
Suicide and mental health
problems remained more prevalent following the economic crisis
|
||
Despite rising demand for
care services, the number of older people and other adults supported through
local authorities declined dramatically
|
||
Quality of life indicators
show improving outcomes among those who receive services…but there are
continuing concerns about abuse and poor quality care in residential homes
and community services
|
The number of disabled and
elderly adults receiving unpaid care grew – as did the number of informal
carers
|
|
Housing
|
||
The number of new home
starts increased (from a very low base) by 40 per cent. A jump from 2012/13
appeared to be linked to the Help to Buy programme subsidising first time
buyers, and to improving economic conditions generally
|
There was a slight
increase in the already high proportion of planning applications receiving
assent, although the total number of applications was low compared to past
trends
|
The number of homeless
households in temporary accommodation grew by 14 per cent, and the total
number of new home completions and affordable completions fell from 2009/10
to 2013/14.
|
The number of ‘affordable’
housing starts also increased by 23 per cent.
|
||
The average energy
efficiency (SAP) rating of homes improved slightly as a consequence of
government schemes, but also the activities of owners
|
||
Area Regeneration and Neighbourhood Renewal
|
||
Regional job growth was
concentrated in
|
Funding for area / neighbourhood
renewal work was severely curtailed
|
|
The early impact of
business regeneration and community enterprise programmes fell well below
expectations
|
Gaps in social and
economic outcomes between disadvantaged and prosperous
neighbourhoods remained
wide
|
Summary - The Coalition’s Social Policy Record 2010-2015
Full paper
- Cuts in many services and increasing pressure on others
- Tax and benefit changes benefited richer groups more, while contributing nothing to deficit
reduction
- Early protection for the poor, but increasing poverty later
- Pensioners were protected, children less so
- Too early to tell for many social and economic outcomes
- Still high levels of debt and deficit, and further cuts to come
Summary - The Coalition’s Record on Cash Transfers, Poverty and Inequality 2010-2015
Full paper
- Benefit uprating in the Coalition’s early years combined with the recessionary squeeze
on earnings to reduce relative poverty, but poverty rose against a fixed line
- Income inequality - it depends on what base you use
- Savings from benefit cuts balanced out tax allowance increases and the “triple lock” on pensions
- The combined impact of direct tax and cash transfer changes was mostly regressive,
moving income from poorer households to those that were better off
- Projections point to continuing redistribution of income away from poorer households
and increased child poverty by 2020
Summary - The Coalition’s Record on the Under Fives: Policy Spending and Outcomes 2010-2015
Full paper
- The number of Sure Start centres fell by a fifth – but those remaining showed resilience at a time of spending cuts
- Attempts to expand other support programmes for parents had mixed success.
- The number of childcare places for young children held up, although daycare provision in children’s centres was more than halved
- Take-up of early education increased slightly for three- and four-year-olds and staff qualification levels continued to improve
- Tax-benefit reforms hit families with young children harder than other families, and poverty increased
- Key child development data changed little after 2010 – but it is too soon to know what impact Coalition policies may have hadSummary - The Coalition’s Record on Schools: Policy, Spending and Outcomes 2010-2015
Full paper
- Overall attainment rose until 2013 then fell at GCSE
- Some socio-economic gaps have widened again
Summary - The Coalition’s Record on Further Education, Skills and Access to Higher Education 2010-2015
Full paper
- More young people were in full-time education and training
- Qualification levels continued to rise among 16 to 19-year olds…
- Despite the rise in tuition fees, the proportion of 18-year olds applying to university increased
- Most of the increase in apprenticeships was among adults aged over 25
- … and the number of adults achieving qualifications fell
Summary - The Coalition’s Record on Employment: Policy, Spending and Outcomes 2010-2015
Full paper
- Unemployment fell steeply from 2013, while self-employment expanded and overall
employment reached a new peak
- The Work Programme disappointed government expectations, although outcomes improved over time
- Evidence concerning the Pre-Work Programme is piecemeal, but more than 60,000 claimants were helped to start their own businesses
- Nine out of ten Jobseeker’s Allowance recipients stopped claiming within a year, but
- Employment and Support Allowance claimants left at a much slower rate
- Jobseeker’s Allowance claims rose and fell with unemployment, but the proportion of lone
parents claiming Income Support kept falling
- Real earnings continued to fall as the recovery gathered pace
Summary - The Coalition’s Record on Health: Policy, Spending and Outcomes 2010-2015 Full paper
- Healthcare indicators point to increasing pressures on access and quality, whilst satisfaction with the NHS declined
- Obesity, smoking and alcohol consumption remained key concerns, and health inequalities remained deeply entrenched
- Suicide and mental health problems remained more prevalent following the economic crisis
Summary - The Coalition’s Record on Adult Social Care: Policy, Spending and Outcomes 2010-2015
Full paper
- Despite rising demand for care services, the number of older people and other adults supported through local authorities declined dramatically
- Community services became more targeted on individuals with the most complex needs
- The number of disabled and elderly adults receiving unpaid care grew – as did the number of informal carers
- The proportion of adults with unmet care needs remained high under Labour and the Coalition
- Quality of life indicators show improving outcomes among those who receive services…
- …but there are continuing concerns about abuse and poor quality care in residential homes and community services
Summary - The Coalition’s Record on Housing: Policy, Spending and Outcomes 2010-2015
Full paper
- The number of homeless households in temporary accommodation grew by 14 per cent, and the total number of new home completions and affordable completions fell from 2009/10 to 2013/14.
- But the number of new home starts increased (from a very low base) by 40 per cent. A jump from 2012/13 appeared to be linked to the Help to Buy programme subsidising first time buyers, and to improving economic conditions generally.
- The number of ‘affordable’ housing starts also increased by 23 per cent.
- The average energy efficiency (SAP) rating of homes improved slightly as a consequence of government schemes, but also the activities of owners.
- There was a slight increase in the already high proportion of planning applications receiving assent, although the total number of applications was low compared to past trends
Summary - The Coalition’s Record on Area Regeneration and Neighbourhood Renewal 2010-2015
Full paper
- Funding for renewal work was severely curtailed
- The early impact of business regeneration and community enterprise programmes fell well below expectations
- Regional job growth was concentrated in London and the South East
- Gaps in social and economic outcomes between disadvantaged and prosperous
neighbourhoods remained wide
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